Liga MX
Match Analysis
Necaxa
Leon
Necaxa
L
W
W
D
W
W
Leon
W
L
L
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leon | Necaxa | 2 - 1 | March 1, 2026 |
| Leon | Necaxa | 1 - 2 | January 3, 2026 |
| Necaxa | Leon | 0 - 1 | August 16, 2025 |
| Necaxa | Leon | 2 - 1 | March 15, 2025 |
| Leon | Necaxa | 1 - 1 | July 22, 2024 |
| Necaxa | Leon | 1 - 2 | April 1, 2024 |
Necaxa Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Toluca | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Monterrey | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Atlante FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Atlas | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 1, 26 | Away | Correcaminos Uat | 3 - 6 | Win |
| Jun 20, 26 | Home | Monarcas | 1 - 0 | Win |
Leon Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Pachuca | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Club Tijuana | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Atlas | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 3, 26 | Home | Tapatío | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Mineros de Zacatecas | 7 - 4 | Win |
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | Toluca | 4 - 1 | Loss |
Liga MX Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Necaxa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 14 | Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.33% likelihood that both Necaxa and Leon will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Necaxa to win
This prediction indicates that Necaxa has a 52.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.68 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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