Liga MX
Match Analysis
Necaxa
Puebla
Necaxa
D
L
L
W
W
D
Puebla
W
W
D
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla | Necaxa | 0 - 0 | March 14, 2026 |
| Necaxa | Puebla | 1 - 0 | September 20, 2025 |
| Puebla | Necaxa | 0 - 1 | April 19, 2025 |
| Necaxa | Puebla | 4 - 1 | July 13, 2024 |
| Puebla | Necaxa | 1 - 2 | January 20, 2024 |
| Necaxa | Puebla | 1 - 2 | October 8, 2023 |
Necaxa Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 26 | Away | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 18, 26 | Home | Leon | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Toluca | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Monterrey | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Atlante FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Leon | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Puebla Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Santos Laguna | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 18, 26 | Away | Pachuca | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Cruz Azul | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | FC Juarez | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Atlas | 3 - 4 | Win |
Liga MX Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Puebla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.29% likelihood that both Necaxa and Puebla will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Necaxa to win
This prediction indicates that Necaxa has a 50.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.71 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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