Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
L
W
L
W
W
D
Toronto FC
L
L
L
D
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution | Toronto FC | 1 - 1 | September 13, 2025 |
| Toronto FC | New England Revolution | 0 - 2 | May 3, 2025 |
| Toronto FC | New England Revolution | 1 - 0 | April 20, 2024 |
| New England Revolution | Toronto FC | 0 - 1 | March 3, 2024 |
| New England Revolution | Toronto FC | 2 - 1 | June 24, 2023 |
| Toronto FC | New England Revolution | 0 - 2 | May 6, 2023 |
New England Revolution Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 26 | Away | Charlotte | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Minnesota United FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 13, 26 | Home | Nashville SC | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Philadelphia Union | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Charlotte | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Inter Miami | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Toronto FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 26 | Away | Chicago Fire | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Charlotte | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Inter Miami | 2 - 4 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Home | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 25, 26 | Home | Atlanta United FC | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Apr 22, 26 | Home | Philadelphia Union | 3 - 3 | Draw |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | New England Revolution | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 25 |
| 24 | Toronto FC | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 14 |
Predictions
New England Revolution to win
This prediction indicates that New England Revolution has a 50.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.42 %Most Likely Scorelines
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