New York City FC vs Toronto FC Saturday 01st August 2026 02:30 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

New York City FC Toronto FC

New York City FC L D W W L L

Toronto FC D L L L D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
New York City FC	Toronto FC	3 - 1	July 3, 2025
Toronto FC	New York City FC	0 - 1	April 26, 2025
Toronto FC	New York City FC	2 - 3	May 11, 2024
New York City FC	Toronto FC	2 - 1	March 16, 2024
New York City FC	Toronto FC	3 - 0	September 24, 2023
Toronto FC	New York City FC	1 - 0	April 29, 2023

New York City FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Away	Nashville SC	2 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	New York Red Bulls	1 - 1	Draw
May 13, 26	Away	Charlotte	0 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Columbus Crew	3 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Home	DC United	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	CF Montreal	1 - 0	Loss

Toronto FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 16, 26	Away	CF Montreal	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Chicago Fire	2 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Charlotte	3 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Inter Miami	2 - 4	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	San Jose Earthquakes	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Atlanta United FC	1 - 2	Loss

Major League Soccer Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
17	New York City FC	15	5	4	6	25	21	+4	19
23	Toronto FC	15	3	6	6	22	29	-7	15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.11% likelihood that both New York City FC and Toronto FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

New York City FC to win

This prediction indicates that New York City FC has a 55.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.69 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed