Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls
L
W
W
L
D
L
Toronto FC
L
L
L
W
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto FC | New York Red Bulls | 1 - 1 | March 14, 2026 |
| Toronto FC | New York Red Bulls | 1 - 1 | June 25, 2025 |
| New York Red Bulls | Toronto FC | 2 - 1 | March 22, 2025 |
| Toronto FC | New York Red Bulls | 1 - 4 | October 2, 2024 |
| New York Red Bulls | Toronto FC | 3 - 0 | June 22, 2024 |
| New York Red Bulls | Toronto FC | 3 - 0 | October 7, 2023 |
New York Red Bulls Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 26 | Home | St. Louis City | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 18, 26 | Away | New York City FC | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Columbus Crew | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 10, 26 | Away | Los Angeles FC | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Seattle Sounders | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Philadelphia Union | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Toronto FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 26 | Away | Nashville SC | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 20, 26 | Away | St. Louis City | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Orlando City SC | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 9, 26 | Home | Nashville SC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Chicago Fire | 4 - 4 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | New York City FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 33 |
| 27 | Toronto FC | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 29 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.36% likelihood that both New York Red Bulls and Toronto FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.New York Red Bulls to win
This prediction indicates that New York Red Bulls has a 47.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.21 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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