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FA Cup

Sept. 8, 2026 1 day, 16 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Newmarket Canvey Island
Newmarket D
Canvey Island D L L L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Canvey Island Newmarket 1 - 1 September 5, 2026

Newmarket Form (Last 1 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Away Canvey Island 1 - 1 Draw

Canvey Island Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Home Newmarket 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 28, 26 Home Aveley 1 - 4 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Brentwood Town 3 - 4 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Home Chelmsford City 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Home Ebbsfleet United 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 30, 25 Away Maldon & Tiptree 2 - 0 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.38% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Newmarket to win
This prediction indicates that Newmarket has a 48.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.91 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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