Notts County vs Nottingham Forest Saturday 18th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Notts County Nottingham Forest

Notts County W W D W D W

Nottingham Forest D L D L W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Notts County	Nottingham Forest	0 - 1	July 15, 2023
Nottingham Forest	Notts County	2 - 2	July 26, 2022
Notts County	Nottingham Forest	2 - 2	July 26, 2022
Nottingham Forest	Notts County	2 - 2	August 9, 2011

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Alfreton Town	0 - 5	Win
May 25, 26	Home	Salford City	3 - 0	Win
May 15, 26	Home	Chesterfield	0 - 0	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	Chesterfield	0 - 1	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Bristol Rovers	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Colchester	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Home	Bournemouth	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Manchester United	3 - 2	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Newcastle	1 - 1	Draw
May 7, 26	Away	Aston Villa	4 - 0	Loss
May 4, 26	Away	Chelsea	1 - 3	Win
Apr 30, 26	Home	Aston Villa	1 - 0	Win

This prediction indicates that Nottingham Forest has a 54.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.18 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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