Nova Iguaçu U20 vs Vasco da Gama U20 Saturday 22nd August 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Carioca U20

Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Nova Iguaçu U20 Vasco da Gama U20

Nova Iguaçu U20 D L L L L W

Vasco da Gama U20 D D W D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Nova Iguaçu U20	Vasco da Gama U20	1 - 2	August 4, 2025
Nova Iguaçu U20	Vasco da Gama U20	1 - 2	June 8, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 11, 25	Away	Fluminense U20	1 - 1	Draw
Oct 4, 25	Away	Sampaio Correa FE U20	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 26, 25	Home	Bangu U20	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 20, 25	Away	Maricá U20	4 - 1	Loss
Sep 17, 25	Away	Flamengo U20	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 12, 25	Home	Portuguesa RJ U20	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Nov 22, 25	Home	Botafogo U20	0 - 0	Draw
Nov 15, 25	Away	Botafogo U20	1 - 1	Draw
Nov 9, 25	Home	Fluminense U20	2 - 0	Win
Nov 1, 25	Away	Fluminense U20	1 - 1	Draw
Oct 25, 25	Home	Portuguesa RJ U20	4 - 1	Win
Oct 18, 25	Away	Portuguesa RJ U20	1 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Vasco da Gama U20	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Nova Iguaçu U20	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 59.56% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Vasco da Gama U20 has a 69.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.07 %

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