Bangu U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20 Saturday 08th August 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Carioca U20

Bangu U20

Aug. 11, 2026 3 weeks, 6 days ago

1 – 2

Full Time

Sampaio Correa FE U20

Match Analysis

Bangu U20 Sampaio Correa FE U20

Bangu U20 L W W D L L

Sampaio Correa FE U20 L W L W D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The two sides are closely matched in overall quality, with neither team holding a clear advantage. Both teams are in moderate recent form, but Bangu have shown defensive struggles recently. The model predicts a home win with a 43% probability, which is slightly more confident than the market's implied view, and also suggests that fewer than two goals will be scored, aligning with the market's outlook.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sampaio Correa FE U20	Bangu U20	3 - 1	September 20, 2025
Sampaio Correa FE U20	Bangu U20	1 - 2	July 27, 2024

Bangu U20 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Nov 16, 25	Away	Volta Redonda U20	4 - 0	Loss
Nov 12, 25	Home	Volta Redonda U20	2 - 0	Win
Nov 8, 25	Home	Maricá U20	1 - 0	Win
Nov 1, 25	Away	Maricá U20	0 - 0	Draw
Oct 25, 25	Away	Botafogo U20	2 - 0	Loss
Oct 18, 25	Home	Botafogo U20	0 - 3	Loss

Sampaio Correa FE U20 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Oct 11, 25	Away	Madureira U20	2 - 1	Loss
Oct 4, 25	Home	Nova Iguaçu U20	2 - 0	Win
Sep 27, 25	Away	Flamengo U20	4 - 0	Loss
Sep 20, 25	Home	Bangu U20	3 - 1	Win
Sep 12, 25	Away	Boavista U20	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 6, 25	Home	Maricá U20	0 - 0	Draw

Carioca U20 Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Sampaio Correa FE U20	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Bangu U20	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.74% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Bangu U20 to win

This prediction indicates that Bangu U20 has a 43.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.85 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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