Serie B
Match Analysis
Novorizontino
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
W
W
D
L
W
L
Sport Recife
W
L
W
W
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Recife | Novorizontino | 1 - 0 | April 25, 2026 |
| Novorizontino | Sport Recife | 1 - 3 | October 11, 2024 |
| Sport Recife | Novorizontino | 1 - 2 | June 25, 2024 |
| Sport Recife | Novorizontino | 1 - 0 | August 5, 2023 |
| Novorizontino | Sport Recife | 0 - 0 | April 30, 2023 |
| Sport Recife | Novorizontino | 1 - 0 | August 30, 2022 |
Novorizontino Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 26 | Away | Athletic Club | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | America Mineiro | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | CRB | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Juventude | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Londrina | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Criciuma | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Sport Recife Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | America Mineiro | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Avai | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Londrina | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Vila Nova | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 27, 26 | Home | Cuiaba | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Goias | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Serie B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Novorizontino | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 21 | +18 | 40 |
| 6 | Sport Recife | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 32 | 22 | +10 | 38 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.19% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Novorizontino to win
This prediction indicates that Novorizontino has a 56.77% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.44 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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