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J2 League
Oita Trinita logo Oita Trinita
Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Iwaki logo Iwaki

Match Analysis

Oita Trinita Iwaki
Oita Trinita W D D L L W
Iwaki W L D D D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Iwaki Oita Trinita 4 - 0 August 23, 2025
Oita Trinita Iwaki 0 - 0 February 23, 2025
Iwaki Oita Trinita 0 - 1 July 6, 2024
Oita Trinita Iwaki 0 - 2 April 21, 2024
Oita Trinita Iwaki 1 - 2 July 22, 2023
Iwaki Oita Trinita 1 - 3 April 8, 2023

Oita Trinita Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Home Montedio Yamagata 1 - 0 Win
May 30, 26 Away Nara Club 3 - 3 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Gainare Tottori 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1 - 2 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Sagan Tosu 0 - 1 Loss
May 6, 26 Away Kagoshima United 0 - 1 Win

Iwaki Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 12, 26 Away Parceiro Nagano 1 - 3 Win
Jun 7, 26 Away Tokushima Vortis 2 - 0 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Shonan Bellmare 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Fujieda MYFC 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Matsumoto Yamaga 1 - 1 Draw
May 9, 26 Home Ventforet Kofu 0 - 1 Loss

J2 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
19 Iwaki 19 7 7 5 23 19 +4 28
27 Oita Trinita 19 6 4 9 21 21 0 22

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.39% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Iwaki to win
This prediction indicates that Iwaki has a 40.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.39 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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