J2 League
Match Analysis
Oita Trinita
Montedio Yamagata
Oita Trinita
D
D
L
D
W
D
Montedio Yamagata
L
L
W
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oita Trinita | Montedio Yamagata | 1 - 0 | June 7, 2026 |
| Oita Trinita | Montedio Yamagata | 1 - 2 | November 2, 2025 |
| Montedio Yamagata | Oita Trinita | 3 - 0 | May 6, 2025 |
| Oita Trinita | Montedio Yamagata | 0 - 3 | September 7, 2024 |
| Montedio Yamagata | Oita Trinita | 0 - 0 | June 9, 2024 |
| Oita Trinita | Montedio Yamagata | 0 - 1 | July 29, 2023 |
Oita Trinita Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Omiya Ardija | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Imabari | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Tokushima Vortis | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Iwaki | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Iwaki | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Vegalta Sendai | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Montedio Yamagata Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Albirex Niigata | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Ventforet Kofu | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Imabari | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | Fujieda MYFC | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Yokohama FC | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Shonan Bellmare | 1 - 0 | Loss |
J2 League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Oita Trinita | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 25 | +2 | 31 |
| 21 | Montedio Yamagata | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 30 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.96% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Oita Trinita to win
This prediction indicates that Oita Trinita has a 40.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.44 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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