Olhanense vs Oliveira Hospital Sunday 18th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Taça de Portugal

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Olhanense View team ›

Oct. 18, 2026 9 hours ago VS

Oliveira Hospital View team ›

Match Analysis

Olhanense Oliveira Hospital

Olhanense D L W W L D

Oliveira Hospital D W D L D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model sees Oliveira Hospital as a slightly stronger side, but Olhanense's poor recent form and the modest quality gap mean the home side still has a fighting chance. The model predicts a home win with a 37% probability, which is notably less confident than one might expect given the quality gap, reflecting Olhanense's current struggles. Additionally, the model believes there is a 41% chance that neither team will score, suggesting a potentially tight and low-scoring match overall. Market odds are not available for direct comparison.

Olhanense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Sep 20, 26	Home	Portel	Taça de Portugal	0 - 0	Draw
Oct 14, 22	Home	Belenenses	Taça de Portugal	0 - 2	Loss
Oct 2, 22	Home	Monte Trigo	Taça de Portugal	1 - 0	Win
Sep 11, 22	Away	Atlético Reguengos	Taça de Portugal	2 - 5	Win
Nov 20, 21	Away	Rio Ave	Taça de Portugal	2 - 1	Loss
Oct 17, 21	Away	Castro Daire	Taça de Portugal	2 - 2	Draw

Oliveira Hospital Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Sep 20, 26	Home	Juventude Évora	Taça de Portugal	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 30, 26	Home	Sourense	Taça de Portugal	1 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Atlético Malveira	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Louletano	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round	2 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Vitória de Sernache	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round	0 - 0	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	Atlético Malveira	Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round	0 - 2	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 59.2% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Olhanense to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Olhanense has a 36.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.87 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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