Taça de Portugal
Match Analysis
Oliveirense
Penafiel
Oliveirense
W
W
D
D
L
W
Penafiel
W
W
W
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oliveirense | Penafiel | 2 - 1 | January 25, 2026 |
| Penafiel | Oliveirense | 0 - 0 | August 17, 2025 |
| Oliveirense | Penafiel | 2 - 2 | January 20, 2025 |
| Penafiel | Oliveirense | 4 - 3 | August 11, 2024 |
| Penafiel | Oliveirense | 1 - 1 | February 3, 2024 |
| Oliveirense | Penafiel | 3 - 1 | August 27, 2023 |
Oliveirense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Penalva Castelo | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Vitória de Sernache | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | União Santarém | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Louletano | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Felgueiras 1932 | 1 - 5 | Loss |
| May 9, 26 | Away | Feirense | 1 - 2 | Win |
Penafiel Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Academica | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | FC Porto B | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Sporting CP B | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Torreense | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Portimonense | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Leganes | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.55% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Oliveirense to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Oliveirense has a 37.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.94 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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