Ordabasy vs FK Tobol Kostanay Sunday 02nd August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Ordabasy FK Tobol Kostanay

Ordabasy L W W W W W

FK Tobol Kostanay D W L W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FK Tobol Kostanay	Ordabasy	0 - 3	May 23, 2026
FK Tobol Kostanay	Ordabasy	1 - 0	September 24, 2025
Ordabasy	FK Tobol Kostanay	2 - 3	August 17, 2025
FK Tobol Kostanay	Ordabasy	1 - 0	October 19, 2024
Ordabasy	FK Tobol Kostanay	1 - 0	May 12, 2024
FK Tobol Kostanay	Ordabasy	0 - 0	August 27, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	Kaspiy	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Home	Ulytau	1 - 0	Win
Jun 28, 26	Away	Ulytau	0 - 1	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	Kaspiy	2 - 0	Win
Jun 14, 26	Away	Yelimay Semey	1 - 3	Win
May 28, 26	Home	Kairat Almaty	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	Kyzyl-Zhar	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 12, 26	Home	Okzhetpes	3 - 1	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Altay	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Home	Altay	3 - 1	Win
Jun 21, 26	Away	Okzhetpes	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	Kyzyl-Zhar	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Ordabasy	17	12	4	1	30	12	+18	40
11	FK Tobol Kostanay	17	5	3	9	19	25	-6	18

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.52% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Ordabasy has a 62.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.55 %

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