Oriental vs Uruguay Montevideo Monday 19th October 2026 02:00 AM football predictions.

Segunda División

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Oriental View team ›

Oct. 19, 2026 21 minutes from now VS

Uruguay Montevideo View team ›

Match Analysis

Oriental Uruguay Montevideo

Oriental L D W W L W

Uruguay Montevideo L L L L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
Uruguay Montevideo	Oriental	1 - 1	Segunda División	July 12, 2026
Uruguay Montevideo	Oriental	0 - 4	Segunda División	September 14, 2025
Oriental	Uruguay Montevideo	1 - 1	Segunda División	June 21, 2025
Oriental	Uruguay Montevideo	0 - 2	Segunda División	September 14, 2024
Uruguay Montevideo	Oriental	2 - 1	Segunda División	June 2, 2024
Oriental	Uruguay Montevideo	3 - 2	Segunda División	April 21, 2024

Oriental Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Away	CA River Plate	Segunda División	3 - 1	Loss
Oct 4, 26	Away	Colón	Segunda División	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 26, 26	Home	Fenix	Segunda División	3 - 2	Win
Sep 20, 26	Away	Rentistas	Segunda División	0 - 2	Win
Sep 12, 26	Home	Miramar	Segunda División	1 - 3	Loss
Sep 6, 26	Away	Tacuarembo	Segunda División	0 - 1	Win

Uruguay Montevideo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Home	Colón	Segunda División	1 - 3	Loss
Oct 4, 26	Away	Fenix	Segunda División	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 26, 26	Home	Rentistas	Segunda División	1 - 3	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Away	Miramar	Segunda División	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Home	Tacuarembo	Segunda División	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 7, 26	Away	Plaza Colonia	Segunda División	1 - 0	Loss

Segunda División Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Oriental	29	12	9	8	38	31	+7	45
14	Uruguay Montevideo	28	6	8	14	27	39	-12	26

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Plaza Colonia	28	12	9	7	+12	45
2	Oriental	29	12	9	8	+7	45
3	Atenas	28	13	6	9	+6	45
4	Colón	29	12	9	8	+5	45
5	Fenix	30	11	11	8	+9	44
6	Rentistas	28	11	9	8	+3	42
7	Cerrito	28	10	11	7	+4	41
8	La Luz	29	9	11	9	-5	38
9	CA River Plate	28	10	7	11	0	37
10	Sportivo Huracan	29	9	10	10	-6	37
11	Paysandu	29	10	5	14	-3	35
12	Miramar	28	7	10	11	-7	31
13	Tacuarembo	29	6	9	14	-13	27
14	Uruguay Montevideo	28	6	8	14	-12	26

Predictions

Oriental to win

This prediction indicates that Oriental has a 56.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.03 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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