Meistriliiga
Match Analysis
Paide
Nõmme United
Paide
L
W
D
W
L
W
Nõmme United
L
W
W
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nõmme United | Paide | 2 - 3 | May 10, 2026 |
| Paide | Nõmme United | 3 - 1 | April 8, 2026 |
| Nõmme United | Paide | 0 - 4 | November 3, 2024 |
| Paide | Nõmme United | 7 - 2 | September 14, 2024 |
| Nõmme United | Paide | 0 - 1 | May 12, 2024 |
| Paide | Nõmme United | 3 - 1 | March 10, 2024 |
Paide Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Rapid Vienna | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Kuressaare | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Zira | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Zira | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Laagri | 5 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | Hegelmann Litauen | 3 - 0 | Win |
Nõmme United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Trans Narva | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Flora Tallinn | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Kuressaare | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 3, 26 | Home | Kalju Nomme | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 20, 26 | Away | Laagri | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 17, 26 | Home | FC Levadia Tallinn | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Meistriliiga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Paide | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 28 | +5 | 35 |
| 8 | Nõmme United | 21 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 25 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.58% likelihood that both Paide and Nõmme United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Paide to win
This prediction indicates that Paide has a 63.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.70 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments