PEC Zwolle vs Al-Jazira Saturday 11th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

PEC Zwolle Al-Jazira

PEC Zwolle L L W L D L

Al-Jazira L L L L W L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Home	Feyenoord	0 - 2	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Fortuna Sittard	3 - 2	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Heracles	1 - 0	Win
Apr 23, 26	Away	PSV Eindhoven	6 - 1	Loss
Apr 12, 26	Home	Excelsior	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 5, 26	Away	GO Ahead Eagles	5 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 27, 25	Away	Almeria	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 2, 24	Away	Malaga	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 30, 24	Away	Cadiz	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 12, 23	Away	Buchbach	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 30, 22	Away	Jong PSV	1 - 2	Win
Feb 9, 22	Away	Monterrey	3 - 1	Loss

This prediction indicates that PEC Zwolle has a 55.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.65 %

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