Penybont vs Airbus UK Saturday 26th September 2026 04:30 PM football predictions.

Premier League

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Penybont Airbus UK

Penybont W W D D W W

Airbus UK L W W L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Penybont	Airbus UK	2 - 0	January 3, 2023
Airbus UK	Penybont	0 - 3	October 15, 2022
Airbus UK	Penybont	1 - 2	November 9, 2019
Penybont	Airbus UK	3 - 1	September 21, 2019

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 11, 26	Away	Trefelin	0 - 1	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Colwyn Bay	1 - 0	Win
Aug 31, 26	Away	Cambrian & Clydach	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 28, 26	Home	Flint Town United	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 21, 26	Home	Llandudno	2 - 1	Win
Aug 14, 26	Away	Haverfordwest County AFC	0 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 11, 26	Home	The New Saints	0 - 2	Loss
Sep 4, 26	Away	Briton Ferry	0 - 2	Win
Aug 31, 26	Home	Holywell	6 - 2	Win
Aug 28, 26	Away	Barry Town	4 - 2	Loss
Aug 21, 26	Away	Colwyn Bay	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 14, 26	Home	Ammanford AFC	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Penybont	7	4	3	0	11	5	+6	15
8	Airbus UK	7	4	0	3	13	9	+4	12

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.97% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Penybont has a 62.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.13 %

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