Serie C - Girone B
Match Analysis
Perugia
Pineto
Perugia
D
L
D
D
W
D
Pineto
D
L
D
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Perugia | Pineto | 0 - 1 | February 28, 2026 |
| Pineto | Perugia | 3 - 0 | October 19, 2025 |
| Perugia | Pineto | 3 - 0 | March 28, 2025 |
| Pineto | Perugia | 3 - 1 | November 16, 2024 |
| Perugia | Pineto | 2 - 2 | March 23, 2024 |
| Pineto | Perugia | 1 - 1 | November 18, 2023 |
Perugia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | Forli | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 18, 26 | Home | Città di Campobasso | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 12, 26 | Away | Ternana | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Apr 4, 26 | Home | Juventus U23 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Mar 29, 26 | Away | Vis Pesaro | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Mar 20, 26 | Home | Torres | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Pineto Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Atletico Ascoli | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Scafatese | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| May 6, 26 | Away | Città di Campobasso | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 3, 26 | Home | Gubbio | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | Gubbio | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 18, 26 | Home | Arezzo | 1 - 4 | Loss |
Serie C - Girone B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pineto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Perugia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.27% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Perugia to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Perugia has a 41.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.97 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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