Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
Philadelphia Union
Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
W
W
W
D
D
W
Orlando City SC
W
W
D
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC | Philadelphia Union | 4 - 3 | May 13, 2026 |
| Philadelphia Union | Orlando City SC | 0 - 0 | April 5, 2025 |
| Orlando City SC | Philadelphia Union | 2 - 4 | February 23, 2025 |
| Orlando City SC | Philadelphia Union | 2 - 1 | October 2, 2024 |
| Philadelphia Union | Orlando City SC | 2 - 3 | May 11, 2024 |
| Orlando City SC | Philadelphia Union | 2 - 2 | June 21, 2023 |
Philadelphia Union Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 26 | Home | FC Cincinnati | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | CF Montreal | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | New York Red Bulls | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Austin | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Inter Miami | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | New York City FC | 2 - 3 | Win |
Orlando City SC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 26 | Away | Atlanta United FC | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | San Diego | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Minnesota United FC | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Real Salt Lake | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Chicago Fire | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | FC Cincinnati | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Orlando City SC | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 31 |
| 17 | Philadelphia Union | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 41 | 39 | +2 | 30 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.03% likelihood that both Philadelphia Union and Orlando City SC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Philadelphia Union to win
This prediction indicates that Philadelphia Union has a 51.65% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.84 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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