Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town Saturday 17th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Oct. 17, 2026 1 day, 9 hours ago
2 – 0
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Match Analysis

Plymouth Parkway Chertsey Town
Plymouth Parkway W W W W L L
Chertsey Town W W W D W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The match features Chertsey Town, who are considered the stronger side, but Plymouth Parkway are also in strong recent form, and both teams have had similar rest time before the game. Chertsey Town have been attacking well recently, which aligns with the model's view that both teams are likely to score and that there will be more than one goal overall. The model predicts a home win with a 40% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds imply for Plymouth Parkway. The model also predicts a high probability (57%) for both teams to score and for the game to have more than 1.5 goals, views that align closely with the market odds.

Plymouth Parkway Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Competition Score Result
Oct 3, 26 Home Horsham FA Cup 2 - 1 Win
Sep 19, 26 Away Frome Town FA Cup 0 - 2 Win
Sep 5, 26 Away Gosport Borough FA Cup 1 - 3 Win
Jul 14, 26 Home Torquay Friendlies Clubs 1 - 0 Win
Jul 11, 26 Home Plymouth Friendlies Clubs 1 - 4 Loss
Aug 30, 25 Home Frome Town FA Cup 0 - 4 Loss

Chertsey Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Competition Score Result
Oct 3, 26 Away Sheppey United FA Cup 0 - 2 Win
Sep 19, 26 Home Greenwich Borough FA Cup 3 - 2 Win
Sep 7, 26 Away Carshalton Athletic FA Cup 1 - 2 Win
Sep 5, 26 Home Carshalton Athletic FA Cup 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 31, 26 Home Westfield (Surrey) Friendlies Clubs 4 - 2 Win
Jul 28, 26 Home Chesham United Friendlies Clubs 2 - 1 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.6% likelihood that both Plymouth Parkway and Chertsey Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Plymouth Parkway or Chertsey Town to win
This prediction indicates that Plymouth Parkway has a 40.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.93 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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