Plymouth vs Burton Albion Saturday 26th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

League One

Plymouth

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Burton Albion

Match Analysis

Plymouth Burton Albion

Plymouth W L W L D L

Burton Albion D W L W D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Plymouth	Burton Albion	3 - 0	January 4, 2026
Burton Albion	Plymouth	0 - 4	September 27, 2025
Plymouth	Burton Albion	1 - 0	April 29, 2023
Burton Albion	Plymouth	2 - 2	November 19, 2022
Burton Albion	Plymouth	0 - 0	April 9, 2022
Plymouth	Burton Albion	2 - 1	October 9, 2021

Plymouth Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Away	Doncaster	2 - 3	Win
Sep 1, 26	Away	Leicester	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	Bradford	2 - 0	Win
Aug 25, 26	Home	Coventry	2 - 4	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Wycombe	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Home	Stockport County	1 - 3	Loss

Burton Albion Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Home	Cambridge United	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 2, 26	Home	AFC Wimbledon	4 - 1	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Notts County	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Leicester	1 - 2	Win
Aug 15, 26	Home	Stevenage	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Home	Blackburn	1 - 2	Loss

League One Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Burton Albion	5	2	2	1	10	7	+3	8
13	Plymouth	5	2	1	2	7	8	-1	7

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.44% likelihood that both Plymouth and Burton Albion will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Plymouth to win

This prediction indicates that Plymouth has a 51.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.85 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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League One

Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Plymouth Form (Last 6 Matches)

Burton Albion Form (Last 6 Matches)

League One Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Plymouth to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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