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I Liga
Pogoń Siedlce logo Pogoń Siedlce
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Stal Mielec logo Stal Mielec

Match Analysis

Pogoń Siedlce Stal Mielec
Pogoń Siedlce D L D L D L
Stal Mielec D D W L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Pogoń Siedlce Stal Mielec 1 - 3 May 15, 2026
Stal Mielec Pogoń Siedlce 0 - 0 November 8, 2025

Pogoń Siedlce Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 7, 26 Away Polonia Bytom 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Nieciecza 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home ŁKS Łódź 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Home Radomiak Radom 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Away Jagiellonia 4 - 1 Loss

Stal Mielec Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Stal Rzeszów 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Home Podbeskidzie 3 - 3 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Away Unia Skierniewice 1 - 2 Win
Jul 17, 26 Home Avia Świdnik 3 - 4 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Home Jarosław 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 11, 26 Home Puszcza Niepołomice 1 - 4 Loss

I Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Stal Mielec 3 1 2 0 6 5 +1 5
15 Pogoń Siedlce 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.22% likelihood that both Pogoń Siedlce and Stal Mielec will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Pogoń Siedlce or Stal Mielec to win
This prediction indicates that Pogoń Siedlce has a 39.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.53 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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