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Polonia Warszawa logo Polonia Warszawa
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Lechia Gdansk logo Lechia Gdansk

Match Analysis

Polonia Warszawa Lechia Gdansk
Polonia Warszawa D W W W L L
Lechia Gdansk L D L L D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Lechia Gdansk Polonia Warszawa 1 - 0 April 24, 2024
Polonia Warszawa Lechia Gdansk 0 - 1 October 31, 2023

Polonia Warszawa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 7, 26 Home Ruch Chorzów 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Unia Skierniewice 3 - 1 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Puszcza Niepołomice 0 - 1 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home Zawisza Bydgoszcz 3 - 2 Win
Jul 15, 26 Home Zlin 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Motor Lublin 2 - 1 Loss

Lechia Gdansk Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Away Ruch Chorzów 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Podbeskidzie 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 31, 26 Home Warta Poznań 0 - 3 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 0 - 3 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home Randers FC 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Home Olimpia Grudziądz 1 - 3 Loss

I Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Polonia Warszawa 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
17 Lechia Gdansk 3 0 1 2 2 8 -6 1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.77% likelihood that both Polonia Warszawa and Lechia Gdansk will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Polonia Warszawa to win
This prediction indicates that Polonia Warszawa has a 58.24% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.66 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Chrobry Głogów vs Podbeskidzie 11 hours from now · 4:30 p.m. › Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa 11 hours from now · 4:30 p.m. › Odra Opole vs Warta Poznań 11 hours from now · 4:30 p.m. ›