Serie B
Match Analysis
Ponte Preta
Avai
Ponte Preta
L
D
L
L
L
L
Avai
L
W
D
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avai | Ponte Preta | 1 - 2 | April 18, 2026 |
| Avai | Ponte Preta | 2 - 1 | November 22, 2024 |
| Ponte Preta | Avai | 1 - 0 | August 4, 2024 |
| Ponte Preta | Avai | 0 - 1 | November 4, 2023 |
| Avai | Ponte Preta | 0 - 1 | July 8, 2023 |
| Avai | Ponte Preta | 1 - 1 | October 5, 2021 |
Ponte Preta Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Ceara | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Athletic Club | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Operario-PR | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Goias | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 8, 26 | Home | Criciuma | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | Fortaleza EC | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Avai Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Juventude | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | America Mineiro | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | São Bernardo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Nautico Recife | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 6, 26 | Away | Botafogo SP | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 28, 26 | Away | Athletic Club | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Serie B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Avai | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 20 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 41 | -26 | 9 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.56% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Ponte Preta to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Ponte Preta has a 34.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.01 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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