Port Vale vs Tamworth Tuesday 14th July 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Port Vale Tamworth

Port Vale L W L L D W

Tamworth W W D L D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 2, 26	Home	Lincoln	0 - 2	Loss
Apr 28, 26	Away	Stockport County	1 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Plymouth	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 22, 26	Away	Cardiff	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Home	Wigan	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 16, 26	Away	Peterborough	1 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Lichfield City	2 - 4	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Braintree	5 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Eastleigh	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Home	York	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 6, 26	Away	FC Halifax Town	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 3, 26	Home	Solihull Moors	1 - 0	Win

This prediction indicates that Port Vale has a 51.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.32 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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