Portimonense vs Rio Ave Wednesday 15th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Portimonense Rio Ave

Portimonense W D W L W L

Rio Ave D L D L D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Portimonense	Rio Ave	2 - 2	May 11, 2024
Rio Ave	Portimonense	2 - 0	January 7, 2024
Portimonense	Rio Ave	2 - 2	April 8, 2023
Rio Ave	Portimonense	1 - 0	October 24, 2022
Portimonense	Rio Ave	0 - 0	May 1, 2021
Rio Ave	Portimonense	3 - 0	January 8, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Home	Farense	1 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Felgueiras 1932	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Chaves	3 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Leixoes	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Home	Lusitânia Lourosa	3 - 2	Win
Apr 12, 26	Away	Maritimo	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Away	Casa Pia	1 - 1	Draw
May 11, 26	Home	Sporting CP	1 - 4	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	GIL Vicente	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Guimaraes	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 17, 26	Home	AVS	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 11, 26	Away	Santa Clara	0 - 2	Win

This prediction indicates that Rio Ave has a 50.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.68 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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