Segunda Liga
Match Analysis
Portimonense
Tondela
Portimonense
L
D
W
W
L
D
Tondela
L
L
L
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portimonense | Tondela | 2 - 2 | April 27, 2025 |
| Tondela | Portimonense | 2 - 0 | December 15, 2024 |
| Portimonense | Tondela | 1 - 2 | January 30, 2022 |
| Tondela | Portimonense | 0 - 3 | August 22, 2021 |
| Portimonense | Tondela | 3 - 0 | March 6, 2021 |
| Tondela | Portimonense | 1 - 0 | October 23, 2020 |
Portimonense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Leixoes | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Benfica B | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Vizela | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Penafiel | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Estrela | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Tondela Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | União de Leiria | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Academica | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Leixoes | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Amarante | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Rio Ave | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | São João Ver | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Segunda Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Portimonense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 13 | Tondela | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.53% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Portimonense to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Portimonense has a 36.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.32 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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