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Victoria NPL

Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Preston Lions Altona Magic
Preston Lions D W D W W W
Altona Magic L D W D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Altona Magic Preston Lions 1 - 0 May 16, 2026
Altona Magic Preston Lions 0 - 2 May 31, 2025
Preston Lions Altona Magic 1 - 0 February 21, 2025

Preston Lions Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 31, 26 Home Green Gully 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 24, 26 Home Bentleigh Greens 1 - 0 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away South Melbourne 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 10, 26 Home Hume City 2 - 1 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away Avondale 2 - 3 Win
Jun 27, 26 Away Sunshine Georgies 0 - 2 Win

Altona Magic Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Away Dandenong City 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Sunshine Georgies 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Dandenong Thunder 0 - 2 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home Heidelberg United 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 10, 26 Away Green Gully 1 - 3 Win
Jul 4, 26 Home Melbourne City II 0 - 3 Loss

Victoria NPL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Preston Lions 22 13 4 5 33 18 +15 43
10 Altona Magic 23 7 6 10 27 37 -10 27

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.19% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Preston Lions to win
This prediction indicates that Preston Lions has a 64.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.94 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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