Progres Niederkorn vs APM Metz Wednesday 22nd July 2026 08:30 PM football predictions.

Progres Niederkorn APM Metz

Progres Niederkorn L L L L D L

APM Metz L D L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	FSV Mainz 05 II	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Home	UN Kaerjeng 97	0 - 3	Loss
Jan 31, 26	Away	Eintracht Trier	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 26, 25	Home	Sochaux	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 19, 25	Away	Thionville Lusitanos	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 9, 25	Home	Mamer	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Nov 29, 25	Home	Feignies-Aulnoye	0 - 2	Loss
Nov 15, 25	Home	Fleury 91	2 - 2	Draw
Nov 18, 23	Away	Sarre Union	1 - 0	Loss
Nov 12, 16	Away	Roye Noyon	1 - 1	Draw
Nov 15, 15	Home	Saint-Louis Neuweg	0 - 3	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.02% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Progres Niederkorn has a 42.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.45 %

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply