Radnicki NIS vs Neftchi Baku Friday 10th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Radnicki NIS Neftchi Baku

Radnicki NIS L W W W W L

Neftchi Baku W L L L W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 1, 26	Home	Csikszereda	0 - 2	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV	2 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	TSC Backa Topola	1 - 2	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Mladost Lucani	1 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Napredak	0 - 1	Win
Apr 27, 26	Away	IMT Novi Beograd	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 6, 26	Home	FK Partizan	1 - 0	Win
Jul 2, 26	Home	CFR 1907 Cluj	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 17, 23	Away	Besiktas	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 10, 23	Home	Besiktas	1 - 3	Loss
Aug 3, 23	Home	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	2 - 0	Win
Jul 27, 23	Away	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	2 - 2	Draw

This prediction indicates that Radnicki NIS has a 41.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.20 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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