Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club Saturday 10th October 2026 03:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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La Liga
Rayo Vallecano logo Rayo Vallecano
Oct. 10, 2026 12 hours from now VS
Athletic Club logo Athletic Club

Match Analysis

Rayo Vallecano Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano D W L W L D
Athletic Club W D D W W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Rayo Vallecano Athletic Club 1 - 1 February 28, 2026
Athletic Club Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 August 25, 2025
Athletic Club Rayo Vallecano 3 - 1 April 13, 2025
Rayo Vallecano Athletic Club 1 - 2 December 1, 2024
Rayo Vallecano Athletic Club 0 - 1 May 25, 2024
Athletic Club Rayo Vallecano 4 - 0 December 2, 2023

Rayo Vallecano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 19, 26 Away Osasuna 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 15, 26 Home Espanyol 2 - 1 Win
Sep 12, 26 Away Real Madrid 4 - 1 Loss
Sep 5, 26 Home Racing Santander 3 - 2 Win
Aug 31, 26 Away Barcelona 5 - 2 Loss
Aug 20, 26 Home Alaves 1 - 1 Draw

Athletic Club Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Oct 2, 26 Away Real Sociedad 0 - 1 Win
Sep 19, 26 Home Alaves 0 - 0 Draw
Sep 12, 26 Home Elche 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 5, 26 Home Atletico Madrid 3 - 0 Win
Aug 30, 26 Away Celta Vigo 0 - 2 Win
Aug 27, 26 Away Barcelona 2 - 0 Loss

La Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Athletic Club 6 2 2 2 7 6 +1 8
9 Rayo Vallecano 7 2 2 3 11 16 -5 8

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.55% likelihood that both Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Athletic Club to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Athletic Club has a 36.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.82 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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