Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Saturday 10th October 2026 05:15 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
La Liga logo

La Liga
Alaves logo Alaves
Oct. 10, 2026 15 hours from now VS
Atletico Madrid logo Atletico Madrid

Match Analysis

Alaves Atletico Madrid
Alaves D L L W W D
Atletico Madrid W W W L L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Atletico Madrid Alaves 1 - 0 January 18, 2026
Alaves Atletico Madrid 1 - 1 August 30, 2025
Alaves Atletico Madrid 0 - 0 May 3, 2025
Atletico Madrid Alaves 2 - 1 November 23, 2024
Alaves Atletico Madrid 2 - 0 April 21, 2024
Atletico Madrid Alaves 2 - 1 October 29, 2023

Alaves Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 19, 26 Away Athletic Club 0 - 0 Draw
Sep 15, 26 Home Valencia 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 12, 26 Away Racing Santander 2 - 1 Loss
Sep 6, 26 Home Osasuna 5 - 2 Win
Aug 28, 26 Home Villarreal 1 - 0 Win
Aug 20, 26 Away Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Draw

Atletico Madrid Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 20, 26 Home Real Madrid 2 - 1 Win
Sep 16, 26 Home Osasuna 4 - 0 Win
Sep 13, 26 Away Real Sociedad 0 - 3 Win
Sep 9, 26 Away Liverpool 2 - 1 Loss
Sep 5, 26 Away Athletic Club 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 29, 26 Away Sevilla 1 - 3 Win

La Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Atletico Madrid 6 4 1 1 14 6 +8 13
6 Alaves 7 3 2 2 11 6 +5 11

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.44% likelihood that both Alaves and Atletico Madrid will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Atletico Madrid to win
This prediction indicates that Atletico Madrid has a 51.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.06 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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