Real Madrid vs Villarreal Saturday 10th October 2026 10:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
La Liga logo

La Liga
Real Madrid logo Real Madrid
Oct. 10, 2026 20 hours from now VS
Villarreal logo Villarreal

Match Analysis

Real Madrid Villarreal
Real Madrid L W W W L W
Villarreal W W L L L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Villarreal Real Madrid 0 - 2 January 24, 2026
Real Madrid Villarreal 3 - 1 October 4, 2025
Villarreal Real Madrid 1 - 2 March 15, 2025
Real Madrid Villarreal 2 - 0 October 5, 2024
Villarreal Real Madrid 4 - 4 May 19, 2024
Real Madrid Villarreal 4 - 1 December 17, 2023

Real Madrid Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 20, 26 Away Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Loss
Sep 15, 26 Away Elche 2 - 3 Win
Sep 12, 26 Home Rayo Vallecano 4 - 1 Win
Sep 8, 26 Home Inter 2 - 1 Win
Sep 4, 26 Away Real Betis 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 30, 26 Home Malaga 4 - 0 Win

Villarreal Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 20, 26 Home Levante 3 - 1 Win
Sep 17, 26 Away Malaga 1 - 3 Win
Sep 14, 26 Home Real Betis 1 - 2 Loss
Sep 8, 26 Away Borussia Dortmund 3 - 2 Loss
Sep 5, 26 Home Deportivo La Coruna 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 28, 26 Away Alaves 1 - 0 Loss

La Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Real Madrid 6 5 0 1 17 6 +11 15
15 Villarreal 6 1 2 3 10 11 -1 5

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.46% likelihood that both Real Madrid and Villarreal will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Real Madrid to win
This prediction indicates that Real Madrid has a 69.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.71 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 76.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 74.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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