Thai League 1
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Match Analysis
Rayong FC
Uthai Thani
Rayong FC
L
D
W
W
D
L
Uthai Thani
W
W
L
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Uthai Thani has had the upper hand in games against Rayong FC, and these encounters have usually been high-scoring. The model predicts a 39% chance of an away win for Uthai Thani, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model sees a strong chance (59%) that both teams will score, and it also leans toward 'over' for both the 1.5 and 2.5 goal lines, indicating an expectation of a game with several goals.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uthai Thani | Rayong FC | 4 - 1 | Thai League 1 | April 18, 2026 |
| Rayong FC | Uthai Thani | 2 - 1 | Thai League 1 | September 27, 2025 |
| Rayong FC | Uthai Thani | 2 - 3 | Thai League 1 | February 1, 2025 |
| Uthai Thani | Rayong FC | 3 - 1 | Thai League 1 | September 15, 2024 |
Rayong FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 26 | Away | Buriram United | Thai League 1 | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 20, 26 | Home | Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Chonburi FC | Thai League 1 | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Prachuap | Thai League 1 | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Home | Bangkok United | Thai League 1 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 | 6 - 1 | Loss |
Uthai Thani Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Competition | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 26 | Home | Rasi Salai United | Thai League 1 | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 18, 26 | Away | Ayutthaya FC | Thai League 1 | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Pattani | Thai League 1 | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 | 1 - 4 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Chiangrai United | Thai League 1 | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Prachuap | Thai League 1 | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Thai League 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Uthai Thani | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 9 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
View full table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prachuap | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 | Uthai Thani | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Buriram United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 4 | Bangkok United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 5 | Port FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 | Rayong FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 | Ratchaburi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 7 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Sisaket United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Sukhothai FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Bangkok Glass | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Chiangrai United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Pattani | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Lamphun Warrior | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Rasi Salai United | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.77% likelihood that both Rayong FC and Uthai Thani will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Uthai Thani to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Uthai Thani has a 38.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.43 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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