Real Jaén vs Villarreal II Saturday 10th October 2026 07:45 PM football predictions.

Primera División RFEF - Group 2

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Real Jaén View team ›

Oct. 10, 2026 1 week, 1 day ago

3 – 3

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Villarreal II View team ›

Match Analysis

Real Jaén Villarreal II

Real Jaén D L W W D W

Villarreal II L W D W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The clear quality gap favors Villarreal II, who also arrive with stronger recent form compared to Real Jaén, despite both teams having similar rest periods. The model predicts a 39% chance of an away win, which aligns with the market odds that also lean toward Villarreal II. Additionally, the model sees a 50% probability that both teams will score and a 47% chance the game finishes with under 2.5 goals, views that are notably more cautious about a high-scoring match than the market odds suggest.

Real Jaén Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 3, 26	Away	Hércules	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 27, 26	Away	Antequera	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Home	Ibiza	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	2 - 1	Win
Sep 12, 26	Away	Teruel	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	0 - 1	Win
Sep 6, 26	Home	Huesca	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 30, 26	Away	Europa Fc	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	0 - 3	Win

Villarreal II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 4, 26	Home	Ibiza	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 25, 26	Away	Atlético Madrid II	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	1 - 3	Win
Sep 19, 26	Home	Antequera	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Away	Huesca	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	0 - 3	Win
Sep 4, 26	Home	Algeciras	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	2 - 1	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Rayo Majadahonda	Primera División RFEF - Group 2	1 - 2	Win

Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Villarreal II	6	4	1	1	12	6	+6	13
6	Real Jaén	6	3	2	1	8	5	+3	11

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Villarreal II	8	5	2	1	+8	17
2	Zaragoza	7	5	1	1	+6	16
3	FC Cartagena	8	4	3	1	+8	15
4	Real Murcia	7	5	0	2	+4	15
5	Alcorcon	8	3	4	1	+8	13
6	Ibiza	8	4	1	3	+1	13
7	Hércules	8	4	1	3	-1	13
8	Real Jaén	7	3	3	1	+3	12
9	Huesca	8	2	5	1	0	11
10	Antequera	7	2	4	1	+2	10
11	Algeciras	8	3	1	4	-2	10
12	Atlético Madrid II	7	2	3	2	+3	9
13	Real Madrid II	7	2	3	2	+1	9
14	Sant Andreu	7	2	2	3	-1	8
15	Gimnastic	7	2	2	3	-2	8
16	Europa Fc	8	2	1	5	-8	7
17	Águilas	8	1	3	4	-6	6
18	Teruel	8	1	2	5	-11	5
19	Rayo Majadahonda	7	1	1	5	-3	4
20	Juventud Torremolinos	7	0	2	5	-10	2

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Villarreal II to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Villarreal II has a 39.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.84 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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