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Taça de Portugal

Sept. 20, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Real Academica
Real W L L L W W
Academica L L W W W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Real Academica 1 - 2 March 11, 2023
Academica Real 0 - 2 December 4, 2022
Academica Real 1 - 0 April 21, 2018
Real Academica 3 - 4 December 9, 2017

Real Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away Sacavenense 0 - 1 Win
Sep 10, 23 Home CD Olivais e Moscavide 1 - 2 Loss
May 6, 23 Away Sporting CP B 2 - 1 Loss
May 1, 23 Home Vitoria Setubal 1 - 2 Loss
Apr 22, 23 Home Oliveira Hospital 2 - 1 Win
Apr 16, 23 Home Sporting CP B 2 - 0 Win

Academica Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Away Penafiel 4 - 1 Loss
Aug 29, 26 Home Lusitânia Lourosa 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 21, 26 Away Tondela 0 - 2 Win
Aug 14, 26 Home Feirense 1 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Chaves 1 - 4 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Caldas 2 - 2 Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 56.61% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Academica to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Academica has a 39.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.02 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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