Bundesliga
Match Analysis
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
W
W
W
W
W
D
Sturm Graz
L
D
W
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Bull Salzburg | Sturm Graz | 1 - 1 | May 3, 2026 |
| Sturm Graz | Red Bull Salzburg | 1 - 1 | March 20, 2026 |
| Sturm Graz | Red Bull Salzburg | 1 - 1 | November 9, 2025 |
| Red Bull Salzburg | Sturm Graz | 0 - 2 | September 20, 2025 |
| Sturm Graz | Red Bull Salzburg | 4 - 2 | May 9, 2025 |
| Red Bull Salzburg | Sturm Graz | 1 - 2 | April 13, 2025 |
Red Bull Salzburg Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 26 | Home | Rapid Vienna | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Austria Vienna | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | Mjallby AIF | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Mjallby AIF | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | WSG Wattens | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | Pafos | 3 - 3 | Draw |
Sturm Graz Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Rapid Vienna | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Austria Lustenau | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | SCR Altach | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 11, 26 | Home | Fenerbahce | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | TSV Hartberg | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 5, 26 | Away | Fenerbahce | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Bundesliga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 10 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 8 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.35% likelihood that both Red Bull Salzburg and Sturm Graz will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Red Bull Salzburg to win
This prediction indicates that Red Bull Salzburg has a 52.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.08 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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