Rouen vs Valenciennes Thursday 03rd September 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

National 1

Sept. 3, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Rouen Valenciennes

Rouen W D W W L D

Valenciennes W L D W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Rouen	Valenciennes	1 - 2	February 6, 2026
Valenciennes	Rouen	2 - 3	August 29, 2025
Valenciennes	Rouen	0 - 0	February 14, 2025
Rouen	Valenciennes	1 - 1	September 14, 2024
Rouen	Valenciennes	1 - 1	February 28, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 14, 26	Away	Orleans	1 - 2	Win
Aug 7, 26	Home	Cannes	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 28, 26	Home	Al Wakrah	1 - 0	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	Boulogne	0 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Laval	1 - 0	Loss
May 19, 26	Home	Laval	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 14, 26	Home	Bourg-en-bresse 01	2 - 0	Win
Aug 7, 26	Away	Caen	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Home	Boulogne	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 22, 26	Away	Eastleigh	0 - 3	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Kortrijk	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Dunkerque	0 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Rouen	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
18	Valenciennes	1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.04% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Rouen has a 45.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.08 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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