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Liga 3

Sept. 6, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

São João Ver AD Marco 09
São João Ver L L D D W L
AD Marco 09 L W D L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
São João Ver AD Marco 09 0 - 0 April 12, 2026
AD Marco 09 São João Ver 2 - 1 March 1, 2026
AD Marco 09 São João Ver 2 - 1 December 21, 2025
São João Ver AD Marco 09 0 - 0 September 24, 2025

São João Ver Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Trofense 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Home Fafe 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Away Leça 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 29, 26 Away Tondela 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Away União Lamas 0 - 1 Win
Jul 3, 26 Away SC Braga 1 - 0 Loss

AD Marco 09 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 16, 26 Away Varzim 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Home Pacos Ferreira 2 - 1 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Cinfães 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 15, 26 Away União de Leiria 2 - 0 Loss
May 3, 26 Away Paredes 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Home SC Braga B 1 - 0 Win

Liga 3 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
10 AD Marco 09 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
14 São João Ver 2 0 1 1 2 4 -2 1

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.39% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
São João Ver to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that São João Ver has a 40.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.48 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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