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Erovnuli Liga

Sept. 13, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Saburtalo Spaeri
Saburtalo L L L D D D
Spaeri L D L L L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Saburtalo Spaeri 1 - 1 June 12, 2026
Spaeri Saburtalo 0 - 2 April 22, 2026

Saburtalo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 27, 26 Home Jagiellonia 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 20, 26 Away Jagiellonia 4 - 0 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Away Torpedo Kutaisi 4 - 3 Loss
Aug 11, 26 Home Larne 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 4, 26 Away Larne 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 29, 26 Away Slovan Bratislava 1 - 1 Draw

Spaeri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Samgurali 3 - 4 Loss
Aug 17, 26 Away Gagra 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Home Dinamo Tbilisi 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 20, 26 Home Samgurali 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Home FC Urartu 2 - 3 Loss
Jun 22, 26 Away Torpedo Kutaisi 0 - 0 Draw

Erovnuli Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Saburtalo 20 10 4 6 30 22 +8 34
9 Spaeri 21 5 8 8 27 28 -1 23

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.78% likelihood that both Saburtalo and Spaeri will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Saburtalo to win
This prediction indicates that Saburtalo has a 62.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.20 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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