Sacavenense vs Farense Sunday 20th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Taça de Portugal

Sept. 20, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Sacavenense Farense

Sacavenense L D W L L W

Farense L D W W L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 30, 26	Home	Real	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 21, 25	Home	União de Leiria	2 - 2	Draw
Sep 7, 25	Home	Rabo Peixe	7 - 0	Win
Sep 7, 24	Away	União Santarém	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 25, 21	Home	Fafe	0 - 4	Loss
Sep 11, 21	Away	O Elvas	0 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 30, 26	Away	Sporting CP B	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 24, 26	Home	Felgueiras 1932	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 16, 26	Away	FC Porto B	1 - 3	Win
Aug 9, 26	Home	Torreense	2 - 1	Win
Aug 1, 26	Home	Fulham	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Benfica B	1 - 1	Draw

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.89% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Farense has a 38.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.67 %

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