J3 League
Match Analysis
Sagamihara
Osaka
Sagamihara
W
D
L
W
W
D
Osaka
W
W
D
D
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Osaka | Sagamihara | 0 - 2 | August 30, 2025 |
| Sagamihara | Osaka | 1 - 2 | May 18, 2025 |
| Osaka | Sagamihara | 1 - 0 | November 15, 2024 |
| Sagamihara | Osaka | 0 - 0 | May 3, 2024 |
| Sagamihara | Osaka | 5 - 0 | November 12, 2023 |
| Osaka | Sagamihara | 1 - 0 | July 9, 2023 |
Sagamihara Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Matsumoto Yamaga | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Parceiro Nagano | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | FC Ryukyu | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Kanazawa | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Roasso Kumamoto | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Osaka Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 26 | Home | Fukushima United | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 14, 26 | Home | Ehime FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Matsumoto Yamaga | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Renofa Yamaguchi | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Shimizu S-pulse | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | FC Ryukyu | 2 - 2 | Draw |
J3 League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sagamihara | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 5 | Osaka | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.11% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Sagamihara to win
This prediction indicates that Sagamihara has a 45.3% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.57 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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