Sagan Tosu vs Tochigi City Saturday 22nd August 2026 01:00 PM football predictions.

J2 League

Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Sagan Tosu Tochigi City

Sagan Tosu W W L D D W

Tochigi City L W D L W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 20, 26	Home	Verspah Oita	7 - 1	Win
Jun 6, 26	Home	Shonan Bellmare	1 - 0	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Tokushima Vortis	3 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	FC Ryukyu	2 - 2	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Renofa Yamaguchi	1 - 1	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	Oita Trinita	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 15, 26	Away	Cerezo Osaka	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Home	Biwako Shiga	3 - 1	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Jubilo Iwata	2 - 2	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Blaublitz Akita	1 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Montedio Yamagata	3 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Thespakusatsu Gunma	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Sagan Tosu	20	9	6	5	26	17	+9	33
26	Tochigi City	20	6	5	9	25	36	-11	23

This prediction indicates that Sagan Tosu has a 49.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.52 %

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