Saint Etienne vs Biel-Bienne Saturday 11th July 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Saint Etienne Biel-Bienne

Saint Etienne L D D W L L

Biel-Bienne D W W W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Saint Etienne Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 29, 26	Away	Nice	4 - 1	Loss
May 26, 26	Home	Nice	0 - 0	Draw
May 15, 26	Home	Rodez	0 - 0	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Amiens	5 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Rodez	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Estac Troyes	0 - 3	Loss

Biel-Bienne Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 3, 26	Home	Yverdon Sport	0 - 0	Draw
Feb 7, 26	Home	Courtételle	3 - 1	Win
Jan 31, 26	Home	Stade Payerne	2 - 0	Win
Jan 24, 26	Home	Delémont	2 - 0	Win
Jan 17, 26	Away	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	2 - 0	Loss
Jan 18, 25	Home	FC Aarau	3 - 5	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.77% likelihood that both Saint Etienne and Biel-Bienne will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Saint Etienne to win

This prediction indicates that Saint Etienne has a 59.83% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.26 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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