Salgueiros vs Estoril Sunday 18th October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Taça de Portugal

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Salgueiros View team ›

Oct. 18, 2026 9 hours ago VS

Estoril View team ›

Match Analysis

Salgueiros Estoril

Salgueiros W W L W L W

Estoril L L L D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts an away win for Estoril with a 40% probability. Despite Estoril having a clear quality advantage, their poor recent form and Salgueiros' moderate recent form along with a rest advantage mean the model is not highly confident in the outcome. The market odds also reflect some uncertainty, pricing Estoril as strong favorites but not overwhelmingly so, which aligns with the model's more cautious 40% probability. Additionally, the model sees a good chance of both teams scoring and both matches exceeding 1.5 and 2.5 goals, suggesting an open, potentially high-scoring game.

Salgueiros Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Feirense	Taça de Portugal	1 - 0	Win
Aug 30, 26	Home	Sousense	Taça de Portugal	2 - 1	Win
Sep 21, 25	Away	Comércio Indústria	Taça de Portugal	4 - 2	Loss
Aug 31, 25	Home	Pontassolense	Taça de Portugal	4 - 2	Win
Sep 8, 24	Away	Aliança de Gandra	Taça de Portugal	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 30, 24	Home	Vizela U23	Friendlies Clubs	3 - 2	Win

Estoril Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Away	Academico Viseu	Primeira Liga	2 - 1	Loss
Sep 20, 26	Home	Casa Pia	Primeira Liga	1 - 2	Loss
Sep 14, 26	Away	SC Braga	Primeira Liga	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 7, 26	Home	Arouca	Primeira Liga	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 31, 26	Away	Benfica	Primeira Liga	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Rio Ave	Primeira Liga	0 - 2	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.49% likelihood that both Salgueiros and Estoril will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Salgueiros or Estoril to win

This prediction indicates that Estoril has a 39.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.25 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.42% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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