SalPa vs OLS Sunday 18th October 2026 03:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Ykkönen

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Oct. 18, 2026 11 hours ago VS

Match Analysis

SalPa OLS
SalPa W L W W W W
OLS L W W D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Both SalPa and OLS are showing strong recent form coming into this match, despite OLS having a modest quality edge overall. The model predicts a home win with a 56% probability, which is notably higher than what the market odds suggest for SalPa. Additionally, the model sees a good chance for both teams to score (64%) and for the match to have more than 1.5 goals (67%), both of which align with the market's inclination towards these outcomes.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Competition Date
SalPa OLS 4 - 1 Ykkönen August 22, 2026
OLS SalPa 5 - 0 Ykkönen June 6, 2026

SalPa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Competition Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Away PKKU Ykkönen 0 - 4 Win
Sep 26, 26 Away Rops Ykkönen 3 - 1 Loss
Sep 19, 26 Home Tampere United Ykkönen 6 - 4 Win
Sep 12, 26 Home JJK Ykkönen 4 - 3 Win
Aug 29, 26 Away KuPS Akatemia Ykkönen 1 - 3 Win
Aug 22, 26 Home OLS Ykkönen 4 - 1 Win

OLS Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Competition Score Result
Oct 10, 26 Home Tampere United Ykkönen 0 - 1 Loss
Sep 26, 26 Home PKKU Ykkönen 3 - 0 Win
Sep 19, 26 Away JJK Ykkönen 1 - 3 Win
Sep 12, 26 Away Rops Ykkönen 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 29, 26 Home Tampere United Ykkönen 2 - 1 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away SalPa Ykkönen 4 - 1 Loss

Ykkönen Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 SalPa 26 13 6 7 56 45 +11 45
5 OLS 26 11 8 7 50 38 +12 41
View full table
Pos Team MP W D L GD Pts
1 Tampere United 26 16 5 5 +33 53
2 Rops 26 13 8 5 +20 47
3 SalPa 26 13 6 7 +11 45
4 VJS 26 11 10 5 +13 43
5 OLS 26 11 8 7 +12 41
6 FC jazz 26 11 6 9 +1 39
7 PKKU 26 10 8 8 +4 38
8 JJK 26 8 7 11 -3 31
9 TPV 26 8 6 12 -9 30
10 Inter Turku II 26 8 5 13 -9 29
11 KPV-j 26 5 3 18 -52 18
12 KuPS Akatemia 26 3 6 17 -21 15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.06% likelihood that both SalPa and OLS will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
SalPa to win
This prediction indicates that SalPa has a 56.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.79 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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