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Ykkönen

July 25, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

SalPa PKKU
SalPa W D D W L W
PKKU L W D W W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
PKKU SalPa 2 - 0 May 2, 2026

SalPa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 10, 26 Away Tampere United 0 - 1 Win
Jul 4, 26 Home VJS 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 27, 26 Away Rops 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 12, 26 Home KuPS Akatemia 4 - 3 Win
Jun 6, 26 Away OLS 5 - 0 Loss
May 28, 26 Away FC jazz 1 - 2 Win

PKKU Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 5, 26 Away Rops 4 - 3 Loss
Jun 28, 26 Away KPV-j 1 - 3 Win
Jun 14, 26 Home TPV 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Away JJK 1 - 3 Win
May 29, 26 Home KuPS Akatemia 3 - 0 Win
May 24, 26 Away Inter Turku II 2 - 1 Loss

Ykkönen Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 SalPa 13 5 5 3 28 24 +4 20
6 PKKU 12 5 3 4 24 17 +7 18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.9% likelihood that both SalPa and PKKU will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
SalPa or PKKU to win
This prediction indicates that SalPa has a 41.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.42 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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