Sampdoria vs Arezzo Saturday 17th October 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Serie B

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Sampdoria View team ›

Oct. 18, 2026 6 hours ago VS

Arezzo View team ›

Match Analysis

Sampdoria Arezzo

Sampdoria L W L L L D

Arezzo D L L W L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Sampdoria with a 46% probability. Despite Arezzo having a modest quality edge and showing strong attacking form recently, both teams are in poor recent form overall, and Sampdoria have created significantly more shooting chances. The market odds imply a slightly stronger belief in a Sampdoria win than the model does. The model also sees a modest edge toward "over" for the Over/Under 1.5 goals line, aligning loosely with the market's view that more than one goal is likely.

Sampdoria Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 9, 26	Away	Avellino	Serie B	4 - 1	Loss
Sep 19, 26	Home	Catanzaro	Serie B	2 - 1	Win
Sep 13, 26	Away	Mantova	Serie B	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 7, 26	Away	Palermo	Serie B	3 - 1	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	Juve Stabia	Serie B	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 23, 26	Away	Cesena	Serie B	1 - 1	Draw

Arezzo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Competition	Score	Result
Oct 10, 26	Home	Cremonese	Serie B	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 27, 26	Away	Lazio	Friendlies Clubs	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 20, 26	Home	Sudtirol	Serie B	1 - 4	Loss
Sep 11, 26	Away	Empoli	Serie B	0 - 1	Win
Sep 6, 26	Away	Verona	Serie B	5 - 0	Loss
Aug 30, 26	Home	Palermo	Serie B	2 - 3	Loss

Serie B Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	Arezzo	6	2	1	3	6	13	-7	7
20	Sampdoria	6	1	1	4	6	13	-7	4

View full table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	7	6	1	0	+9	19
2	Mantova	7	4	2	1	+5	14
3	Pisa	7	4	1	2	+5	13
4	Modena	7	4	1	2	+4	13
5	Sudtirol	6	3	3	0	+6	12
6	Ascoli	7	3	3	1	+3	12
7	Benevento	7	3	2	2	+3	11
8	Avellino	6	3	1	2	+4	10
9	Virtus Entella	7	2	3	2	+2	9
10	Verona	7	2	2	3	+2	8
11	Cesena	6	1	4	1	-1	7
12	Carrarese	7	2	1	4	-1	7
13	Empoli	7	2	1	4	-4	7
14	Padova	7	2	1	4	-4	7
15	Arezzo	6	2	1	3	-7	7
16	Juve Stabia	6	1	3	2	-3	6
17	Cremonese	7	1	3	3	-4	6
18	Vicenza Virtus	7	1	3	3	-6	6
19	Catanzaro	7	1	1	5	-6	4
20	Sampdoria	6	1	1	4	-7	4

Predictions

Sampdoria to win

This prediction indicates that Sampdoria has a 45.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.82 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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